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Virginia’s Future at Risk: The Impact of Federal Budget Cuts on Young People and Families

  • Federal Advocacy
  • Health Equity
  • Medicaid

By Emily Moore

“Children are the world’s most valuable resource and its best hope for the future”

Former President John F. Kennedy, July 1963 

As Congress pushes a reconciliation bill that includes enormous budget cuts to fund tax breaks for corporations and the ultra-wealthy, the very basic programs and services that help young people realize their brightest potential are under threat. The health of our nation is dependent upon the well-being of our youngest citizens, and the ability to ensure that young people can thrive is a responsibility we all hold. But too often, decisions are not made with their needs at the center, and they are left behind in policymaking. 

If we collectively believe that children are our most valuable resource and best hope for the future, then why are policies and funding dedicated to supporting their needs always first on the chopping block when the government needs to cut costs? It’s not only immoral and antithetical to a pro-family agenda, but it’s costly in the short and long-term. Research shows that investing in children contributes to a healthy childhood and a successful adulthood and produces positive fiscal outcomes for all levels of government. And a study by the National Bureau of Economic Research indicates that for every dollar the federal government invests in programs that benefit children, the societal return amounts to $10 or more.


Despite the evident and urgent needs of young people and parents and caregivers, the U.S. House of Representatives passed their reconciliation bill on May 22, which includes more than $715 billion in cuts to health care programs, with the majority coming from Medicaid, and over $300 billion in cuts to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)—two programs that are proven to lift families out of poverty and ensure they have access to nutritious food and health care. These cuts are being championed and celebrated by Congressional leaders despite ample research and analysis demonstrating the direct and indirect harm that these cuts will have not only on young people, but on entire communities and state economies. 

Medicaid is a Vital Program for Virginians Across
the Lifespan

Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) provides critical health care coverage to nearly 2 million Virginians – including 740,000 children. Medicaid is a state and federal partnership, meaning that it is jointly funded through Virginia’s state budget and the federal government. The proposals passed by the U.S. House of Representatives would create deep holes in Virginia’s Medicaid budget and force state leaders to make impossible decisions about who Virginia’s Medicaid program serves and which services it covers. Due to the substantial number of young people enrolled in Medicaid, any reduction in funding would compromise their access to care, eligibility criteria, and the breadth of covered services. 

In order to realize $715 billion over the next ten years in “savings” from health care programs, the Energy and Commerce Committee – which has jurisdiction over Medicaid – established several policy proposals that will result in more than 10.3 million Americans losing Medicaid/CHIP coverage and at least 7.6 million becoming uninsured by 2034. Estimates for Virginia indicate that as many as 397,000 Medicaid enrollees could lose coverage under the proposals included in the bill.  

These proposals will put pressure on state agencies and make it harder for people to
successfully enroll in Medicaid, even if they technically qualify:

There are additional proposals that will cumulatively result in Medicaid enrollees having a more difficult time accessing the care and services they need. During a time of such economic uncertainty, when families are dealing with the rising cost of living and the impending price hikes as a result of tariffs, now is not the time to cut basic needs programs and add administrative red tape. Families and children need more support, not less, and we must stop making it harder on them and shutting them out of services. Make no mistake: any dollar cut from Medicaid will harm young people’s health and well-being.  

SNAP Boosts the Economy, Reduces Food
Insecurity, and Improves Health

 SNAP is the nation’s largest anti-hunger program and one of the most effective tools we have to combat poverty and build thriving communities. In Virginia, SNAP helps nearly 830,000 people put food on the table – including more than 329,000 children. Families that receive SNAP spend those dollars in our local economies, fueling production for local agriculture and farmers and business for local retailers. In fiscal year 2024, SNAP benefits infused $1.8 billion into Virginia at nearly 6,400 retailers. 

Unlike Medicaid, SNAP nutrition benefits are funded solely by the federal government, while states pay half of administration costs and handle screening for eligibility and issuing benefits. The proposals that passed in the reconciliation bill cut $300 billion from the SNAP program, including shifting a portion of the costs to states. Requiring states to pay even a portion of the costs will create an unfunded mandate that would be incredibly difficult to finance, resulting in states taking food assistance away from the people who need it the most.  

This reconciliation bill makes historic and devastating cuts to the SNAP program that will impact families, farmers, grocers, schools, and local and state governments. These cuts will force Virginia lawmakers and state agency leaders to choose between cutting eligibility or absorbing unmanageable and unsustainable costs.  

These proposals will leave families with children vulnerable to hunger, particularly
with increased food prices: 

There are additional proposals included in the reconciliation bill that will layer onto the above proposals to reduce benefit amounts for families, increase administrative burden and red tape, and force Virginia to choose between cutting eligibility or absorbing unmanageable and unsustainable costs. Moreover, these proposals – as well as the proposals to Medicaid – come with administrative and systems expenses, which will take additional state money and time to upgrade systems and to train and hire staff. 

With 1 in 7 Virginia children living in food insecure households and 78% of Virginians struggling to afford groceries, protecting and strengthening SNAP is more important than ever. Parents will be forced to make difficult trade-offs, such as deciding to get ultra-processed food rather than fresh fruits and vegetables or having to decrease portion sizes to feed the entire family.  

SNAP creates jobs, and without SNAP we will have less grocers and farmers, and Virginia’s rich agricultural sector and food supply chain will suffer alongside hungry families and children. Despite rhetoric about “Making America Healthy,” this proposal dismantles our most effective anti-hunger program and will leave families with children vulnerable to food insecurity, particularly as food prices increase. 

Cuts to SNAP and Medicaid Create Ripple Effects
that Directly Impact Young People

It is important to also take a step back and look at how these cuts would intersect with each other. The same households would be impacted by cuts to both Medicaid and SNAP, losing critical lifelines for health and food at the same time. Nationally, two-thirds of children who participate in Medicaid, SNAP, or both are children of color – placing Black and Latino children at heightened risk from proposed cuts.  

Cuts to SNAP and Medicaid will be detrimental to children’s health—and it’s important to note that we will especially see the impacts of these cuts in the classroom. 

Cuts to Medicaid and SNAP are Cuts to School Meals

Children can’t learn when they are hungry, and for so many children, school has been a guaranteed two meals a day—but these cuts threaten student’s access to those guaranteed school meals. While school nutrition programs and the Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) were not cut in the House Education and Workforce’s budget mark-ups, any cuts to Medicaid and SNAP are direct assaults on school nutrition programs.  

Children who are enrolled in SNAP are “directly certified” for free school meals – meaning they automatically qualify – and Virginia uses Medicaid data to directly certify students for free and reduced-price school meals. The proposal to cut Medicaid and SNAP will reduce the number of families that are eligible, and children will lose direct access to school meals, causing more students to fall through the cracks due to administrative barriers and navigating the complex application process. 

Additionally, schools would see a decrease in the number of “identified students.” For some schools, that means they would no longer be eligible for CEP. For schools that are still eligible to participate, it could make it less financially viable because federal reimbursements are primarily based on the number of students who are directly certified through programs like SNAP, TANF, and Medicaid.  

We are already seeing a decrease in the number of “identified students” post-Medicaid Unwinding, in which over 130,000 children across our Commonwealth were disenrolled from Medicaid between April 2023 and September 2024, despite many remaining eligible. This is a small-scale case study for what is to come if Virginia is faced with more children and families losing Medicaid and SNAP coverage. School divisions will be faced with tough decisions of weighing the option to continue participating in CEP or not. And it is a decision that impacts children who are eligible for free meals and those who are already falling through the cracks. 

Teachers are reporting regularly seeing students come to school hungry and say that they worry about students’ ability to access nutritious meals when they are not in school. We cannot continue to widen this gap to accessing nutritious food. Any cuts to Medicaid and SNAP will lead to more hunger in the cafeteria and at the dinner table. 

Cuts to Medicaid and SNAP are Cuts to Child Nutrition Programs

Like direct certification for school meals, children enrolled in SNAP and Medicaid are also eligible for several other child nutrition programs:  

*These programs utilize data sources, such as direct certification data, to determine where those meals can be served and which locations can participate in summer and afterschool meals. 

Cuts to Medicaid and SNAP are Cuts to Jobs and Hits to the Economy

Virginia is required to balance its budget each biennium, and without additional ways to raise revenue, the state general fund cannot backfill the hole that the loss of federal SNAP and Medicaid funds would create. In addition to the benefits cuts that would need to take place to afford these proposals, the loss of billions of dollars in federal funding would weaken Virginia’s economy and cause substantial job loss across health and food sectors.  

Families that receive SNAP spend those dollars in our local economies, fueling production for local agriculture and farmers and business for local retailers. Virginia Fresh Match, the statewide nutrition incentive network, partners with more than 150 Virginia businesses and organizations to offer SNAP matching funds for produce, with a collective annual impact of more than $3.3 million. Cutting SNAP benefits for Virginia families means a direct hit to the 1,200 farmers and 6,400 retailers who earned income through feeding families with SNAP benefits.

Learn more about the direct impact cuts would have on local grocers by reading about the impact that SNAP has on The Market at 25th, Richmond’s East End grocery store.

Additionally, more than one-third of Virginia’s rural hospitals are operating in the red, and cuts to Medicaid would put many hospitals that mainly serve residents in Southwest and Southside at risk. Virginia has 28 health care facilities that fit the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ definition of “rural hospitals”, and they serve populations with higher rates of poverty. Because these hospitals are largely financed through Medicaid and Medicare and get lower reimbursement rates for much of their patients’ care, more than one-third reported operating within negative margins in 2022, a problem that predated the COVID-19 pandemic. 

If federal Medicaid and SNAP funding are cut, the combined economic loss to Virginia in 2026 is estimated at $2.6 billion, and job losses in the health care and agricultural/food sectors are estimated to be over 24,000. These hits to the economy and state budget would undermine health and economic gains that Virginia has made in recent years through policy change and investments in the state budget. Nonprofits, food banks, and other community-based resources play a vital role in supporting families, but they aren’t equipped to fill the gap and replace the foundational support provided by programs like Medicaid and SNAP. 

Any significant cuts will create the perfect storm of policy failure that will worsen hunger and profoundly impact the health and well-being of young people in Virginia for years to come.


TAKE ACTION NOW

Rather than divesting from basic needs programs and reducing access to nutritious food and quality health care, Congress should be investing in the programs that are proven to lay the foundation for children and their families to thrive. 

Instead, in just ten days, House Congressional leaders fast-tracked their path through budget reconciliation and omitted the public from the process. Mark-ups on the policy proposals were heard in committee on May 13, and on May 21 at 1 AM, the House rushed through an overnight vote in the House Rules Committee and then pushed for a full House vote only hours later at 9 AM.  

The reconciliation bill will now go to the Senate, where it will almost certainly undergo more changes before returning to the House for a final vote. Congressional members are on Memorial Day recess through June 3, so now is the time to call them while they are back home in your district and let them know that children and families are counting on them to do the right thing!

Send this action alert to your Congressional Representative and Senators urging them to Oppose Cuts to Medicaid! 

Send this action alert to your Congressional Representative and Senators urging them to Protect Young People from Hunger!


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