The initial deep dive analysis on the county-level impacts of cuts to Medicaid and SNAP across Virginia can be found here.

Map Table of Contents

• Projected Total Funding Loss
  • Senate
  • House
• Projected Medicaid Coverage Loss
  • Senate
  • House
• Projected Medicaid Funding Loss
  • Senate
  • House
• Projected SNAP Coverage Loss
  • Senate
  • House
• Projected SNAP Funding Loss and Resulting Economic Development Loss
  • Senate
  • House
• Additional Information
  • Notes
  • Data Limitations

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Projected Total Funding Loss (Senate)

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Projected Total Funding Loss (House)

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Projected Medicaid Coverage Loss (Senate)

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Projected Medicaid Coverage Loss (House)

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Projected Medicaid Funding Loss (Senate)

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Projected Medicaid Funding Loss (House)

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Projected SNAP Coverage Loss (Senate)

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Projected SNAP Coverage Loss (House)

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Projected SNAP Funding Loss and Economic Development (Senate)

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Projected SNAP Funding Loss and Economic Development (House)

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Notes

Voices consulted our colleagues at Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families (AACF) in the creation of these maps and employed an approach mirroring AACF’s mapping project. We are grateful for their assistance. These county-level projections assume impacts proportional to current enrollment trends. Specifically, we allocated calculations from the state to the county level using enrollment proportions from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019-2023 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates of total estimated Medicaid allocations by county and total SNAP households by county. Finally, the colored scale shows the units and is roughly the lowest to highest observation with the 50th percentile point in the middle.

Data Limitations

All projections are rooted in past trends and cannot account for future policy behavior at the state level (i.e., state-level investments, future error rates, work requirement implementation, individual behavioral responses, etc.). As mentioned above, allocating state-level data to the county level assumes proportional impact in all the maps. For the Medicaid maps, it is important to note Virginia authorized Medicaid expansion in 2018 and the policy went into effect Jan 1, 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic impacted the roll-out, and then Medicaid unwinding occurred April 2023, to the end of November 2024. These unique policy changes during the past five-years are a limitation when using the most recent (as of September 2025) five-year Census enrollment estimates to predict Medicaid losses. Furthermore, the SNAP funding map should be interpreted with additional caution given that national funding loss estimates were translated to the state and then county level based on household-level enrollment proportions. As more up-to-date estimates emerge, Voices plans to update the maps.

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